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Betting Strategies: Key Numbers in College and NFL Football


These numbers in football betting and to a lesser extent basketball are the most common margin of victory of the final score or the point totals. These key numbers are accessible using years of final score data that can be found fairly easily online, as you’ll see shortly.

When betting on NFL games there are two specific key numbers that bettors keep an eye on. These two specific margins of victory occur much more often than any others.

The most frequent margin of victory in both college and pro football is 3 points. The second most frequent margin of victory is 7 points. Did you know there are key numbers to look for when betting NFL totals?

Find out what those are an start profiting more this football season. It turns out the ability to predict if a game will reach 42 points is a key to picking the correct side of a total. Dating back to, all matchups that had 41 or fewer points scored went UNDER a staggering. At the same time, all contests that featured 42 or more points went OVER at a clip. Nfl betting nfl summer article series. Why is Contrarian Betting so Profitable for Sharp NFL Bettors?

Whether it's due to Identifying Sharp Money When Betting on the NFL. When it comes to Use Sportsbook Shading to Win More this NFL Season. Key numbers are 4, 8, 11, the books want you to think that 3, 7, 10 are key numbers but they are pooo pooo. Key Numbers and Buying Points in NFL. Many bookmakers allow you to buy points on the spread. This effectively means you can choose your own point spread.

In the NFL, key numbers in point total betting are also determined by the value of the scores and their various combinations. The most common total points scored, and therefore key numbers for point total betting, in order of importance are 41, 43, 37, 44, 51, 33, Just like in the point spread, the key is to look for times when the point total line is a key number. Understanding key numbers when betting NFL overunders, especially since the league moved the extra point, will ensure you’re getting the best of the number every time you place a wager.

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Here are some key numbers to know for your upcoming NFL betting picks. How to Recognize and Handicap Key NFL Betting Numbers. What is the Most Common of Scoring in NFL? By far the most common way of scoring in the NFL is a 3-pointer, known as a field goal.

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Remember that sportsbooks aren’t speculating how much better points-wise one team is over another, simply what number will bring the most action on both the favorite and the underdog.

Ideally, a sportsbook takes 50 percent action on both and simply wins on the vig the cost to make a bet. Key numbers are very important, but it’s also important to keep in mind that the definition of a key number is shifting a little bit.

As a result, the numbers 3, 4, 6, and 7 have always carried higher importance in the NFL and college football betting markets. Also, slight deviations on either side of those numbers, like,, and have always carried additional weight.

Being able to get a + on an underdog rather than a +7 on an underdog is a pretty significant edge. Similarly, getting instead of -7 is a pretty significant edge. A byproduct of the scoring system is that it creates opportunities for bettors to improve their standing by moving off of these key numbers. If you’re betting on NFL football games and serious about winning, you need to be familiar with key numbers and what those numbers are.

This article can and will increase your chances of beating the NFL point spread should you decide to implement this advice into your sports handicapping arsenal.

Key numbers are the common final score margins in the NFL. By knowing what the key numbers are, you can avoid getting duped into betting a bad line, and if you’re good at reading between the lines, you can see which way the oddsmakers want you to bet on the game. As most already know, 3 is th.

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Wiseguy Vegas Runner and Philly Godfather discuss the best key number to look for when betting College and NFL Football along with some other betting. You likely know that 3 and 7 are key numbers when betting football, particularly in the NFL, which has less scoring variance than the college game.

But you might not be aware how important those numbers are compared with others. Before the season, the NFL moved extra points farther back, creating the possibility that missed PATs would take some games off those key numbers and push them elsewhere.

There won’t be a big enough sample size for years to truly pinpoint values. We can approximate from history, then adjust if needed. The most important key numbers are within NFL betting. NFL games land on the key number of three more than any other number.

What I mean by "land on three" is the difference in the scores, whether it bet,, etc. So many football games end on a game-winning field goal, which makes three the most important number.

The next "key" number in the NFL is seven, since that is the difference in games decided by a touchdown and extra point. Related Experts Offer 12 NFL Handicapping Tips. Three and seven are the strongest and most import.

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Key numbers are the most common margins of victory in football and basketball, which also makes them the most desired point spreads by bettors wagering o. The NFL’s other most common key number is 7 points, coincidentally happening seven percent of the time. This makes a lot of sense as well, considering touchdowns with extra points are worth seven points.

If teams are up by between four and seven points near the end of the game, their opponents will more than likely be going for a touchdown since a field goal will not help them even the score or earn a victory.

If they fail to score that touchdown, the winning team can simply run out the clock and secure their seven-point win. Sportsbooks are hesitant to move away from key numbers, none more th. The National Football League NFL is one of the most bet-on sports in the entire world.

As the home of the top athletes in the world in terms of speed, power, and strength, the high-octane action does not disappoint. Couple this with a ton of different betting options and ways to make serious money, and you’ve got a recipe for something amazing.

Those numbers constantly change, which opens up opportunities for making money. If there is only one guide you’re going to read on this entire page, please let it be this one. Understanding these different available bet types is the key to being able to leverage all of your knowledge fully.

While you can be a very successful NFL bettor without venturing off the beaten path, there are a lot of great opportunities with different bet types. Neil Channing These numbers are absolutely key to betting on the NFL. Around 15 of all NFL games are decided by a score of 3 and around 10 by a score of 7.

This means the handicap line spread is so important when placing bets. A lot of people will miss and see -3 and think they may as well still bet as it’s only a small change, but that is a huge mistake.

So that’s what not to do, but how do you make money from the NFL. Todd Furhman No bet should be placed before understanding the kind of weather you’ll see in a game or the list of injuries to key players.

I also can’t emphasize enough the value handicappers need to place on travel and schedule when seeking to find an extra bit of value. Brad Allen I like the weather angles. Looking for NFL betting tips and advice? Read what our analysts think about each NFL football game. Betting has never been easier! National Football League NFL betting includes the moneyline, spread and total. Exotic bets such as parlays and round robins are also available.

The spread in football is known as the "betting line." Futures wagering and prop bets are also extremely popular among football enthusiasts. With 16 games played by every team during a week period, for a total of nfl games, there are plenty of opportunities for action. Learn how to make the best NFL bets and how to bet on NFL games by clicking on the links below.

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The NFL key numbers, 3 and 7, come back into play for the first rule. When you move the line, try to cross as many key numbers as possible. Even though you’re going to be teasing the lines, you still need to shop around for the best odds.

Avoid the higher number teasers, even though they might look tempting on the betting sites. The best strategy is to keep the teaser to a few games at a time. NFL The sport where key numbers play the biggest significance is in football.

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With scoring typically produced via field goals three points and touchdowns plus the extra point seven points it should come as no surprise that the most common margin of victory in an NFL game is by three points over the last three seasons followed by seven points.

The next group of numbers that are the most common and play into line setting include six, 14 and 10, once again keeping with multiple combinations of three and seven. Betting Advice for Key Numbers. While sportsbooks pay special attention to these numbers, you should also when evaluating wagers in each sport.

As bettors, we have some ways to use these numbers to our advantage. There are tons of things to keep in mind when betting on the NFL. However, we have filtered out the less-important ones and present you the top 6 aspects of successful NFL betting. This is the most important NFL betting factor there is. It is definitely important to use the numbers to your advantage, but that doesn’t mean its the end all, be all.

It is up to you to combine the trend with these other factors above to make the educated pick. The NFL is a tough game to handicap. Week to week teams tend to look different, and that’s why it gets the nickname Any Given Sunday.

Using these NFL key factors when trying to handicap a game ensures you will make an educated bet and give yourself the best chance to win.

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Get all the best betting information on the NFL here. You can bet on whether the total number of points for each quarter will be odd or even, whether the total amount of points for each half will be odd or even or if the total number of points for the game will be odd or even.

This bet is great for beginners because it doesn’t take any skill or knowledge of the game it comes down to luck. Handicap betting is one of the most popular wagers when it comes to the NFL. Handicap betting can often be referred to as point spread or line betting too, so don’t get confused if you hear these other terms thrown around.

Handicap betting is designed to create a more even head-to-head style bet with the favourite for the game being deducted points and the underdog being added points. NFL football is the crown jewel of the sports betting world. Despite a much smaller number of wagering opportunities than the other three major professional leagues in the United States, the league dominates much of the conversation regarding sports betting.

The NFL has the least number of games of any major professional sport, but still gets most of the betting action. NFL betting markets have come a long way since sides and totals. Bettors now have a massive assortment of futures, props, and the ability to bet on the fly with NFL live betting.

NFL betting online as well as offshore betting s. A new App for Basketball We are the best betting expert Team for Basket. Players in the National Football League wear uniform numbers between 1 and 99, and no two players on a team may wear the same number. Rules exist which tie a player's number to a specific range of numbers for their primary position.

Additionally, rules exist which limit who may handle the ball on offense generally players who are designated as offensive lineman, who wear numbers, are not allowed to handle the ball during a play from scrimmage, though they are allowed to do so if they report to.

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Once you have a number for each team, you use the difference to determine what the line would be if both teams played on a neutral field. For example, if the Patriots are five points better than average and the Steelers are three points better than average, you'd make the line Patriots -2 if they played on a neutral field.

Just knowing that it's happening is key to getting an edge. What really matters to bettors is how much. Number of bookings The average total number of football cards in a match is around five.

This number, of course, differs from league to league and match to match. The most usual type of bet is Over 5,5Under 5,5, where you are asked to choose from a somewhat physical game to a more relaxed one. This bet can be found both as a total and team bet. Analyze the referee The match official is a key figure to your analysis.

Regardless of the number of cards a team gets during every matchday, it’s obvious that you have to take the referee’s behavior into account. What is his usual attitude during a match?.

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The beginning sports bettor must obtain an understanding of the numbers on the betting board and what they mean. For instance, most betting sites don’t list odds for NFL teams in the old-fashioned horse track style of XY, but rather in decimals like + or. Understanding the mathematics of a moneyline can be a challenge at first.

Many betting sites offer a handy risk-reward calculator for gamblers who don’t already have the figures in mind. Key strategy points include sleeping on any individual game wager, checking on hidden variables, and visualizing the game. Matchups, matchups, matchups that will be key when betting the NFL.

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It's easy to fall into the trap of simply comparing results with a common denominator. Here's a prime example Dallas beat the Redskins, and since Washington beat Philadelphia, then the Cowboys should be able to beat the Eagles, too.

Factor in the number of injuries that affect every single team, and how a team performed in Week 1 has little bearing to a Week 15 matchup. Using the prior example once again, maybe the Cowboys run offense has faltered recently as a result of losing its Pro Bowl tackle. They could still be ranked high in total rushing yards for the year, but that statistic is now skewed for the current game.

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With NFL betting, there is a strategy to follow when using handicaps. There are certain numbers that are considered big numbers.’ You see, teams usually score points from either a field goal 3 points or touchdown 7 points meaning games are normally won by these margins.

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In fact, 17 NFL matches are won by three points throughout a season.

Likewise, injuries to key players can quickly put a favourite team in a tricky position and make them less likely to win. At the end of the day, NFL betting is a great way to win some money and is far more reliable that Premier League football betting. It’s a good idea to visit sites like the official NFL website for all the in-depth stats and news on every team in the league.

Brush up on your knowledge, bet in the right markets, and you will go far. filmworkz.us welcomes all NFL betting fans to our comprehensive guide for the NFL football season. We strive to give you easy access to all the information you need to make your betting decisions. We have live NFL lines, offer a bunch of free NFL picks on a regular basis and publish the latest news and expert analysis.

If you are new to betting on the NFL, we offer a number of simple guides to get you started. In a matter of minutes, you will be able to read point spreads, money lines, and future bets.

We also have a glossary of various sports betting and NFL terms. From this point onwards it’s up to you to disseminate the information available in the individual tram matchups and make your betting decisions. Wagering on the NFL is bigger than ever, not necessarily because of the popularity of the sport but also due to underlying issues regarding the number three that has so commonly been used in linesmaking.

One in six games in professional football has fallen on this number and because more and more games are continuing to land on the number three, bookmaking issues arise surrounding the decision of how to maximize profits by moving and balancing the line.

Sportsbooks and linesmakers are cautious to tread water away from the number three because they run the risk of.

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The best NFL lines and odds when placing a wager. Football remains hugely popular in Canada and betting on the play-offs and the Grey Cup is an integral part of the season. Find out all you need to know about getting started at our best Canadian foot.

For example, if any key injury news is announced, the price of the opposition is likely to shorten. Waiting until the day of the game isn’t always a good idea as value can often be lost. For example, NFL betting markets for the number of touchdowns or which of the two teams make a longer field goals.

During the Superbowl, there are additional prop bets available including the colour of outfit worn by the HT performers or how long the National Anthem will last. Sports Illustrated spent an NFL Sunday at PointsBet to see the inner workings of how traders operate.

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Aitken’s key strategy for getting PointsBet’s name out there was rocking the boat on price and promotion.

PointsBet offers a vigorish or juice bet to win on its pregame NFL spreads, whereas its competitors are at bet to win. We’re looking for guys who understand numbers. If you know numbers, you understand them and then you’ve got the deep understanding of the sport, then that’s all we need to mold a trader. So that’s why they skew younger, we’ve got a lot of guys who come from finance services, commerce, guys who understand the market.

Because that’s what gambling is, it’s the market.

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NFL Prop bet availability varies by sportsbook and can vary by games. The Super Bowl has the largest number of prop bets with over Contents. These props have all to do with DST, the key props in this category are defensive TDs and sacks by the defense.

They are regarded by most to be one of the harder props due to the long odds for cetain selections. Will a special teams of defensive TD be scored Will the defense or special teams excluding kicker record any points during a game Ex.

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And betting advice on numberFire, your 1 source for projections and analytics. NFL Betting Guide Conference Championships.

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The NFL teams are very very close in quality overall. Personal discipline in passing on games where the number is close but not quite good enough to bet is important to long term success as well. In the heart of the book, Gordon's handicapping system, he examines not only hard statistics, but leans heavily towards psychological motivations and factors. There is no factor one can think of to which he does not assign some value, a half point here and a half point there. In order to navigate out of this carousel please use your heading shortcut key to navigate to the next or previous heading.

The Complete Guide to Sports Betting The six key betting principles that professional bettors use to ensure profit at the sports book.

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Key Premier League markets are among the most exposed and solid in the business. Leaving aside the maxim proposing the glorious unpredictability of sport, there is no mystery as to what the odds should be. Similarly, few markets are more reliable than those on the NFL. Pored over hour-by-hour and channel-by-channel, American Football lines are always sound and hyper-sensitive to changes in key variables. In short, it's hard to steal a winning edge.

Still, ever the optimist, let's have a look at how we might You should prioritise these numbers and bet accordingly. For example, you should be far more confident betting over Total Points than over Total Points. The Money Line The more prosaic, outright outcome of the match winlosetie.

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The notion of key numbers in NFL betting is typically associated with the point spread. For spread bettors, the NFL scoring system’s emphasis on 3 points for a field goal and 7 points for a touchdown create key numbers that tend to crop up. For instance, you’ll see a disproportionate amount of final scores read, or to create a spread of exactly 7 points, and the same rule applies to 3-point deficits.

You should obviously be very mindful of key numbers when betting on NFL point spreads, but they also serve a role for game total bettors. A wager on the game total doesn’t concern itself with winners and losers, only how many points light up the scoreboard.

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NFL Football betting odds and lines information. Includes an overview of how to bet on the NFL and more importantly, who has the best odds. Since the NFL is one of the most widely bet sports in the world, the number of betting markets available is often much greater than in the other three major American sports. Since the advent of internet wagering, the amount of wager types on the NFL has consistently gotten larger.

In today’s market, the sheer amount of wagering options available on just a single contest can be daunting. Point spread wagering is by far the most popular form of betting on the NFL. Each week the lines are released on Sunday evening and Monday morning for the coming week’s games.

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These free NFL betting tips come with odds offered by the major sportsbook in the gambling industry. All the picks are delivered after a careful analysis of the most important factors such as previous meetings, team stats, power ratings, and all the info and stats that help you become a winner when betting on American Football.

Some of our most popular NFL bets are our weekly accumulators, combining our best NFL picks from our previous section to try and win a large amount from a small stake.

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Even with a number of key injuries for the Cowboys, I'm counting on Dallas' league-best offensive line to pave the way to a win. That means putting faith in the Cowboys defense, too, and hoping A.J. Green doesn't repeat his Week 4 performance. These are risky propositions to be sure - balanced out by the comfort that comes with taking the points against a Marvin Lewis-coached team.

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The NFL teams are very very close in quality overall. Personal discipline in passing on games where the number is close but not quite good enough to bet is important to long term success as well. In the heart of the book, Gordon's handicapping system, he examines not only hard statistics, but leans heavily towards psychological motivations and factors. There is no factor one can think of to which he does not assign some value, a half point here and a half point there.

In order to navigate out of this carousel please use your heading shortcut key to navigate to the next or previous heading. The Complete Guide to Sports Betting The six key betting principles that professional bettors use to ensure profit at the sports book.

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See more of NFL Betting Picks on Facebook. See more of NFL Betting Picks on Facebook.

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Good bets are characterised by a positive expected value. The question remains how to transform your edge into what is our ultimate goal Long term profits. Increase the number to, and you are theoretically going to make a profit with a certainty of. Moreover, you will earn more than the expected value of half of the time.

As long as your sample size is small, placing valuable bets is only part of the story and risk is still highly present. By increasing your sample size of +EV bets you will reduce the risk of negative returns and your results will converge towards its expected value. That is the power of the law of large numbers. Key concepts in sports betting.

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Pat Arm-ageddon’ Mahomes threw 50 TD passes on yards through the air. Those are dizzying numbers right there. I get lightheaded just writing them. The second-year QB helped the Chiefs lead the NFL in points and total yards per game. If only they had a Mahomes-caliber defensive player. It’s their bad Luck that only one other team had a worst pass defense in the league. Indianapolis is ATS in their last 6 road games vs. A team with a winning home record.

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Learn how NFL betting odds work and how to read Vegas football betting lines with this easy tutorial. We'll explain overunder, money line, point spreads and other betting numbers so you can use any online sports betting website or Vegas casino sport. In this video I will explain to you exactly how NFL betting odds work, and the easiest way to understand them.

I go over what both the odds with the negative - sign means and what the odds with the positive sign means, including a full example.

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A very important thing in American football betting or better said in betting on the NFL is key numbers. Key numbers are basically the most common margins by which teams win in the NFL. These numbers are 3, 7 and 10 points. We don’t have to get into details, but you should know that due to the nature of the sport, in the past few dozen NFL season, at least a third of all the games had finished with one of these 3 margins.

The often occurrence of these margins means that you should usually focus on them when you are spread betting for example. Now when it comes to home and away matches, in NF.

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How to bet on football online legally, a list of licensed sportsbooks, how the odds work and more. Legal online NFL betting is finally here. Since New Jersey won its long-running court case to legalize sports betting in mid, multiple states have joined the party with legislation of their own to legalize, regulate and tax in-person and online sports betting.

These numbers include other sports as well, but NFL betting is by far the most dominant driver of revenue every year in Nevada. That trend is likely to hold in other states as well.

When we put it all together, sports betting has the potential to generate as much as to billion in revenue per year across the United States.

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Sports leagues and other key stakeholders are making one last push to cement their positions in the Pennsylvania sports betting industry, the NFL included.

Again, the NFL seems to be in agreement with its fellow leagues on the need to use official data to resolve sports bets Therefore, an essential component of consumer protection is a requirement that the information used to settle these wagers is correct and timely, something that can only come from official data provided by the sports leagues themselves.

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The National Football League NFL is the most highly bet league in North American sports. With many factors coming into play, it may seem a bit overwhelming for the beginner bettor or a bettor new to American football. The numbers alone can completely throw people both new and experienced in learning how to bet. It’s also worth remembering that all of the tips you find below must be combined with the number one tip find the right bet at the right price. A key factor to examine is whether a team’s offence is pass-oriented, rush-oriented, or a balanced mix.

Compare an opposing team’s defence and determine if it has strong cornerbacks to stop the pass, good pass rushers to limit passing, or if it has solid defensive linemen to put a stop to the rush.

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If you are familiar with betting the NFL at all, then you are familiar with the concept of key numbers. Because of the scoring system in football, games end with margins of 3 and 7 far more often than other numbers. Here’s a look at that data from With this visual aid, you can quickly see why books might be hesitant to move off of numbers like 3 and 7 late in the week. When betting a sport, building a model, or following a system, it’s important to account for new information that can alter your previous results.

In the case of the NFL season, there was one rule change that.

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Any bettor considering betting on the NFL should start from the basics. Understanding the terms used on most sports betting website online is also key. During the stretch of the NFL, when placing a wager it is important that you understand the odds. How they work in your favour and when you place them. These are the terms you will come across Rotation number. You can also read our beginner’s guide to NFL betting.

This number will represent the amount of money that you will need to be wager to win The underdog meanwhile, will is signified with a plus sign in front of number. This number shows how much a bettor will receive when they bet The NFL moneyline betting continues to gain momentum.

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High-stakes NFL action will dominate our TVs over the next three weekends. There's a pair of very important playoff games, the Pro Bowl, and then the Super Bowl, where 22 of the game's greatest players grind it out for the ultimate gridiron glory. But watching is only half the fun. So Arizona is pretty much a lock to have the ball first and is a pretty good bet for the first pass completion. There’s a reason bookies won’t take action on this, but your ill-informed friends just might.

In terms of the game itself, Betti is focused on the slippery field surface in the Panther’s Bank of America Stadium, frigid weather this weekend, and two strong defensive teams. It’s such a key number that or percent of the time, the winning team will win by three.

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